With only 30 days left until Selection Sunday, I figured it would be a good time to start sharing my predicted brackets and final outcome. I’ve been refining my methodology over the past few years; it’s never aligned with what the selection committee has picked, but it has come fairly close. Continue reading Bracketology 2018: T-30 days and counting
I’ve been following college basketball ever since I moved to the great state of Kentucky. While I’d love to see my Wildcat’s go all the way this year, I have to take an honest look at the basketball landscape.
Listed below you will find my predictions for the seeding of the men’s college basketball tournament. These are not based on current rankings, but uses completed games to predict the rest of the season.
Updated through: Thursday, January 26, 2017
Final Four Teams: Villanova, Louisville, Gonzaga, Arizona
Champion: Gonzaga over Villanova (70-66)
|5. North Carolina|
|13. Florida State|
|17. St. Mary’s|
|18. Notre Dame|
|19. South Carolina|
|30. West Virginia|
|31. Middle Tennessee|
|32. Rhode Island|
|34. Illinois State|
|36. Florida Gulf Coast|
|42. Southern California|
|43. Texas Southern|
|44. Arkansas State|
|50. North Dakota State|
|52. E. Tennessee State|
|55. Cal State Bakersfield|
|56. New Mexico State|
|57. Wichita State|
|61. Oklahoma State|
|64. New Orleans|
|65. Weber State|
|66. UC Davis|
|67. North Carolina Central|
Why should you trust me? You shouldn’t. I just find it fun to see how close I can get to the selection committee come selection Sunday.
Today should be the best day of NCAA basketball until the tournament starts. This is an exciting time of year. Almost every top 25 team takes the court.
Over the last few weeks, I’ve worked on reincarnating my senior CS project, a sports ranking algorithm. I’ve reworked the code, added future game predictions and complete season modeling. Personally, I am surprised at the results, but I have to take what the computer tells me. Kansas ends the season ranked above two undefeated team, Kentucky and Virginia. I’ll have more on my season end predictions after today’s games.
The excitement starts at noon. After dropping two games, including a home loss, Duke travels to Louisville. Louisville lost a heartbreaker last week in the final seconds to UNC. I think this game might be the best game you could watch all season. Both teams have everything on line. Based on my calculations, Duke as a the slight advantage here, but that doesn’t take into account they are on the road. This game should come down to the final seconds again, this time Pitino should have his team ready. Louisville 88, Duke 86.
Another great game should be Utah at Arizona (7:00pm). I give Arizona the edge here.
Also tipping off at 7:00pm is Oklahoma at Oklahoma St. This game should be close down to the wire, but Oklahoma St. gets the edge, but only slightly (less than 1% separate these two).
Earlier in the day (4:00pm), my #1 Kentucky Wildcats travel to Alabama. Everyone is trying to find a way to slay the dragon Kentucky has built this year. On paper they are an 84% favorite, but given the recent OT games, Kentucky needs to come out strong to hold this edge. I theorized before there’s an underground meeting of SEC coaches plotting ways to defeat Coach Cal’s #1 team. I don’t think anyone will find the formula. Cal has a way of staying one step ahead when it’s needed. Kentucky takes this one down.
Outside of the top 25 and for the night owl’s out there, the 11:00pm game of BYU at St. Mary’s should be a thriller. My calculations have these two dead even.